Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economy
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Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economy
UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A ]N DEVELOPMEN Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economyNT ECONOMICSTHE RELATIONSHIP BE TWEEN OIL PRICE FLUCTUATIONAND VIETNAM’S MACRO-ECONOMYBYLE THUAN BINHMASTER OF ARTS IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSHO CHI MINH CITY, June 2011UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSHO CHI MINH CITY VIETNAMINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIES THE HAGUE THE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME F Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economyOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSTHE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN OIL PRICE FLUCTUATION ANDVIETNAM’S MACRO-ECONOMYA thesissubmitted in partial fulfilment of theLuận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economy
requirements for the degree ofMASTER OF ARTS ĨN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSByLE THUAN BINHAcademic Supervisor:DR. DINH CONG KHAIHO CHI MINH CITY, June 2011UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A ]N DEVELOPMEN Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economys during the thesis writing process.I would like to give thanks to Mr. Phung Thanh Binh, who had provided sources of data and instructed econometric techniques for my thesis.1 wish to express my gracefulness to the Vietnam-Netherlands Programme for M.A in Development Economics which provides us chan Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economyce to access the best conditions for our study. Ỉ am in debt of all staffs of the Programme for their devoted supports during the time I studied thereLuận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economy
.I am graceful to all professors who devoted their enthusiasm and knowledge on lectures from which we have benefited greatly. What I have learned fromUNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A ]N DEVELOPMEN Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economyife generally.J owe many friends a debt of gratitude for all their encouragement. 1 am gracefill to all my classmates for their co-operations during the course.Last but not least, I am greatly indebted my family. My parents, especially my Mom always encourage me and save all their love to me uncondi Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economytionally.CERTIFICATIONI certify that the substance of this thesis has not been submitted for any degree and is not being currently submitted for any oLuận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economy
ther degree.This thesis is the result of my own independent work with the guidance of the supervisor, except where otherwise stated. Other sources arcUNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A ]N DEVELOPMEN Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economyttention since the 1970s. Many empirical studies found a significant positive effect between oil price shocks and consumer price index (CPI), and this higher CPI will retard GDP. A key feature of this paper investigates the relationship between the world oil price and Vietnam’s macro-economy based o Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economyn monthly time series dataset from 2001 QI to 2009Q4 , using the method of multivariate vector autoregression (VAR). The findings show that the worldLuận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economy
oil price affects the economic growth and inflation of Vietnam significantly. The results of the Granger causality test, impulse response functions, aUNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A ]N DEVELOPMEN Luận văn thạc sĩ UEH the relationship between oil price fluctuation and vietnams macro economyconsumer price index causes negative affect on GDP.UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A ]N DEVELOPMENGọi ngay
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