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(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

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Nội dung chi tiết: (LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

l DIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STI DIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSV IETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME I OR M.A IN DEVELO

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam OPMENT ECONOMICSTHE IMPACT OF OIL PRICE ON INFLATIONTHE CASE OF VIET NAMA thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of

MASTER OF ARIS LN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSByTRUONG NGO TRONG NGHIAAcademic Supervisor:DR. NGUYEN VAN NGAIHO CHI MINH CITY. NOVEMBER 2012AcknowledgementO (LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

ver two years not so long but it is one of the most interesting periods of my life with many impressive memories. 1 would like lo lake this opportunit

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

y to express my deep gratitude to the Vietnam-Netherlands Master Program for Economics of Development lor organizing many helpful and exciting curricu

l DIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STI DIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSV IETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME I OR M.A IN DEVELO

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam ould like to express my sincere gratitude to my supervisor Dr. Nguyen Van Ngai who gave me valuable guidelines, comments, suggestions, and inspiration

for the successful completion of this study. Besides, his friendly and thoughtful instructions have given me a great deal of encouragements to overco (LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

me difficulties in the whole research process.I am also thankful to Dr. Nguyen Trong Hoai, Dr. Nguyen Hoang Nam, Dr. Tu Van Binh. MBA Ly Thi Minh Chau

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

. Tutor-Mr. Phung Thanh Binh and all lecturers and program administrators in the Vietnam I he Netherlands Program for M.A. in Development Economics. T

l DIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STI DIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSV IETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME I OR M.A IN DEVELO

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam specially I ran i'uyct Hanh. I ran Van Long. I.e Trong Binh. Vo Thi Ngoc Trinh, Le Anil Khang, Nguyen Van Dung. Nguyen Xuan Phap. Nguyen Le Thao Nguye

n and other classmates for their continuous support and encouragement.Last but not least. I would like to express my deepest thanks to my parents, my (LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

brother, my close friends who have always given the most favorable environment and kept encouraging me that made me feel more confident during my stud

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

y.iiCertification”1 certify that the content in this thesis has not already been submitted for any degree and has not submitted for any other degree u

l DIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STI DIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSV IETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME I OR M.A IN DEVELO

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam e as all sources used have been acknowledged in my thesis.”SignatureTruong Ngo Trong NghiaDate: / /2012iiiAbstractA steep upward trend in the price of

crude oil in recent years, reaching a spike record in middle of 2008. has led to increasing concern about its impacts on macroeconomic, both abroad a (LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

nd in Vietnam. In this study, using the vector auto regression approach (VAR) with monthly dataset from 2001M1 to 2010M10. I attempt to empirically in

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

vestigate the dynamic effects of oil price and Vietnam macroeconomics. Focusing on the reduced-form of causal relationships between world oil price (e

l DIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STI DIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSV IETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME I OR M.A IN DEVELO

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam t on price level and output. In empirical analysis. I find consistent evidence that oil price shocks have a significant effect on output and price lev

el in short term. In detail, my research finds a weak and positive statistically significant association between oil price shocks and price level. The (LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

output is more highly sensitive and I find an empirical evidence about the negative impact of oil price shocks on economic growth although it’s not s

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

traight forward. I also assert the existence of asymmetric impact of oil price proxies’ changes on economic growth rale.Key words: inflation. GDP. oil

l DIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STI DIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSV IETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME I OR M.A IN DEVELO

(LUẬN văn THẠC sĩ) the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam ................iiList of Tables............................................................4

l DIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STI DIESHO CHI MINH CITYTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSV IETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME I OR M.A IN DEVELO

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