Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
➤ Gửi thông báo lỗi ⚠️ Báo cáo tài liệu vi phạmNội dung chi tiết: Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas rtment of Civil Engineering, Nagoya UniversityQuoc Chinh HOABSTRACTSimultaneously owning different types of vehicle including cat. motorcycle and bicycle is addressed m this study by using random unlit}- models The empirical analysis adopts generalized extreme value (GEV) models as approaches to des Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas cribe vehicle ownership at household level. The analysis then extended to incoipoiate multivehicle ownership explicitly in the model and its results aHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
re compared with those of binary vehicle ownership. The estimation results indicate that income is a dominant factor for vehicle ownership of any type2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas to analyze effects of collecting vehicle ownership fee in an effort of alleviating traffic congestion m Vietnam.(GEV)Table of Contents1Introduction..................................................12Data soruces..................................................33Random utilitymodels................. Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas ........................83.1Multinomial logit (MNL) model.................................83.2Nested logit (NL) model.................................Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
......93.3Generalized nested logit (GNL) model.........................104Results......................................................114.1B mary veh2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas ...............................286Conclusions..................................................30AcknowledgementsReferencesAppendices1 IntroductionThe world has witnessed an impressive economic growth of Asian countries from the second half of the 20th century up to now. especially in the last two d Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas ecades. From 1993 to 2003. GDP per capita has increased the most in Asian region, which is about 1.44 times, exceeding all other regions worldwide (SeHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
nbil et al.. 2007). While it is without doubt that economic growth increases incomes and contributes to the improvement in quality of life of Asian co2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas sian countries. Vietnam now faces with negative impacts of urbanization. industrialization as well as motorization such as traffic congestion, noise and an pollution in big cities.Since public transport network in Vietnam is not sufficient enough for large transport demand, private transportation mo Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas de like motorcycle IS chosen as a major means of transport, leading to the high dependence on private vehicle. The two biggest cities in Vietnam, nameHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
ly Hochiminh metropolitan (HCM) and Hanoi are characterized by a high trip rate and extremely high ownership rate of motorcycles. Transport demand in 2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas hile that of car is still low as 1.6%. The share of private transport including that of bicycle (about 14%) is therefore higher than 90% which is unique in Asian countries. According to a report by Vietnam’s Ministry of Natural Resoiuces and Environment 111 2007, transportation sector 1$ responsible Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas for up to 70% of polluted gas ill urban areas. The report estimates that road transportation is the main source of air pollution in urban areas whichHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
emitted 85% co. 95% HC and approximately 61% NOx. Based on the present and near future situation that urban transport is still highly dependent on mo2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas imes by 2010 in HCMC. directly proportional to the increase in number of vehicles' while that of Hanoi is about 1.5 times, compared to FY 2005. Policies aimed at reducing private motorized transport mode dependence such as road pricing and fuel tax have been employed in order to alleviate burdens th Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas at road transport places on environment. It is believed that urban cities where the negative impacts of urbanization and motorization become more seriHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
ous must be leaders in shifting people to environmentally friendly transport modes. It is also the reason why in the literature many studies have inve2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas Sen. 2006; Bhat et al. 2009; Dissanayake and Monkawa. 2002; Yamamoto. 2009)1 Lower limit, i.e.. 2 times is obtained by the assumption of an annual 10% increase in private vehicles while the assumption for upper bound is 20%. Recent annual rates of private vehicle increase in HCMC are 10.6% for auto Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas mobile and 14% for motorcycle (HCMC Department of Tr ansport. 2007)1Contributing to the vast literature in this field, this research examines the effeHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
cts of household demographics and urban structure represented by built envhomnent characteristics on vehicle ownership behavior In particular, the int2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas hip models proposed by Yamamoto (2009) The research then widens the model by Yamamoto (2009). which only takes into account binary vehicle ownership, to incorporate multi-vehicle ownership explicitly to further investigate the interaction effects between bicycle and motorcycle at household level Thi Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas s is important because at present most households in developing countries are at low or middle income level which confines them to the vehicle choiceHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
of affordable modes such as bike and motorcycle but car. In the near future, however, the rapid increase in income in developing countlies Will make c2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas a result. Recent research carried out by Van et al. (2009) has shown by scenario simulation that if 30 - 40% of motorcycle users in HCMC upgrade their mode of transport to car. average travel speed in a typical corridor will dramatically decrease from currently 17.8 fan'll to 10 km h or even less, a Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas nd the percentage of total congested length increases to 30 - 50% respectively.2 In addition, scenario analysis by JICA (2004) indicated that if untilHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
2020 bus share in HCMC could be increased to 30% while motorcycle and car usage could be limited to 50% and 20% respectively, average travel speed wo2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas tudy in Hanoi shown that 111 2020 average travel speed will be 9.4 fan'll and v/c ratio is 1.13 while those network performance indicators in 2005 were 26.0 fall'll and 0.40. respectively (JICA. 2007)The aforementioned studies has shown that transportation in HCMC as well as in Hanoi metropolitan ar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas eas will experience serious consequences of upgrading transportation mode from bike to motorcycle and then car if no specific measures are taken In orHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
der to prevent people from this shifting trend, which in turn reduces the level of motorization, substitution and supplementation effects between diff2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas stimates if the correlations among alternatives are not appropriately considered Thus, nested logit (NL) models as well as multinomial logit (NfNL) models are developed and compared with each other in order to investigate such correlations in this study. However, as a part of the bundle is identical Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas amongst some alternatives, and a part of unobserved terms are shared by some bundles, the random components of bundles may have correlations with eacHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
h other (Yamamoto. 2009). Furthermore, different types of private vehicle may have their own correlations, so generalized nested logit (GNL) models pr2ƠƠ9 Master's ThesisHousehold Vehicle Ownership in Vietnam: A Comparative Analysis of Hochiminh and Hanoi Metropolitan AreasFebruary 5. 2010 2225Depar Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas sections divided by the length of that corridor.2https://khothuvien.cori!employed to capture such correlations amongst unobserved components as well as different alternatives. Large scale person trip survey data for HCM and Hanoi are used for empirical analysis in this study.The remainder of tins pa Household vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas per IS organized as follows: section 2 describes data sources used in this study. Section 3 explains three types of alternative GEV models used in thiHousehold vehicle ownership in vietnam a comparative analysis of hochiminh and hanoi metropolitan areas
s study and constrained conditions to be consistent with maximum utility theory. Section 4 presents and compares the estimation results between the twGọi ngay
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