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Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

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Nội dung chi tiết: Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam of the Global Financial Crisis on an Emerging Market: The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao TianA thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements

for the Degree of Doctor of Business Administration at the University of Western Sydney41334AcknowledgementsThis thesis is the result of a process du Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

ring which I have acquired a great deal of knowledge and many skills that are invaluable for my research career. The thesis would not have been possib

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

le without the support and assistance of the following people.My utmost gratitude goes to the members in my supervisory panel, who have offered suppor

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam ate Professor Craig Ellis, for Iris excellent guidance and precious suggestions on my thesis. I would also like to express my utmost gratitude to my c

o-supervisor. Associate Professor Kevin Daly, for his valuable suggestions and support. I am deeply gratefill to Ms Maike Sundmacher, my co-supervisor Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

, for her continuous support and encouragement throughout my DBA candidature.1 would also like to thank sincerely the staff in the School of Business,

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

University of Western Sydney for their support during my DBA journey. My thanks are due to Di Anil Mishra for initial discussions of my research. Dr

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam n carrying out research.1 would like to express my gr atitude to the Managerial Board of the University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City. Vietnam (ƯEH) a

nd the World Bank for financially supporting for my research. My sincere thanks are also due to the management and staff in the Doctor of Business Adm Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

inistration Program (UEH) as well as my colleagues in the Banking Faculty' (UEH) for their support throughout my research.Last, but not least. I would

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

like to deeply thank my parents, husband, little son and family members for their continuous support and encouragement during my DBA journey.IIStatem

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam he University of Western Sydney.I declare that the work is a result of my own research except where acknowledgement of another's work is made. It is a

n original work and I have not submitted this material, either in whole or in part, for a higher degree at any other institution.SignedDate:41352Abstr Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

actGlobal equity markets have become increasingly integrated in recent decades. This global integration and rapid information transmission suggests hi

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

ghly significant linkages across markets. In the literature. researchers investigate tluee dominant market linkages: co-integration. causality and con

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam n of a shock among the markets during crisis periodsUnlike other Clises in recent decades, the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in mid-2007 originated in

the United States (US), the largest and most influential market in the world, and had severe effects on global equity markets. Moreover, the Clisis a Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

ppeared to change linkages among global markets. The extent to which the GFC has affected global equity markets, particularly markets that do not have

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

strong international trade links With the US. and whether global equity-market linkages have been influenced by the GFC are of increasing interest to

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam its linkages to global equity markets. Despite the significant growth in market capitalization over the last 10 years, studies on the Vietnamese equit

y market are sparse in the existing literature and there is a lack of research taking into account the influence of the GFC on the market as well as o Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

n its cross-market linkages. Specifically therefore, the thesis examines impacts of the GFC on the Vietnamese equity market at market levels and on it

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

s linkages - including both short-run and long-run linkages - to global markets. The linkages aie based on two foundational theories: namely Purchasin

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam ad to the Vietnamese equity market, and if so. how and where the shock originated.To answer these issues, the thesis employs nine equity-market indice

s - Hong Kong. Japan. Korea, Singapore. Taiwan, the US, Malaysia. Thailand and Vietnam These countries are selected for the fact that they have contin Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

uously maintained leading positions in the FDI flowsivof Vietnam in recent years. The period of study is from 28/7/2000 to 31/12/2010; the start date

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

being the lust trading day of the Vietnamese equity market. The markets are separated into two groups, namely advanced markets (Hong Kong. Korea. Japa

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam ore the impacts of the GI-’C on rhe Vietnamese equity markets. Firstly, co-inlcgialion tests arc used to examine the long-run linkages between and amo

ng the markets. Second, causality rests are used to explore the causal or short-run linkages. finally. die contagion effect is investigated by employi Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

ng constant and dynamic conditional correlation tests. In these tests, the pre- turd post-analysis technique is performed to examine rhe impacts of rh

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

e GIC during sub-periods.rhe empirical results of rhe thesis find much evidence in favour of the co-integrarion relationship between Vietnam and other

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam apan. Vietnam-Taiwan during tire pre-crisis period. However, the results overall are not consistent among the three bivariate co-integrating tests emp

loyed in the thesis. Long-run co-movements are also evident in the relationships within the entire market, but not within the tluee emerging markets o Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

f Vietnam. Thailand and MalaysiaA number of causal lurkages are explored m the relationship between and among the Vietnamese and other selected market

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

s. The results show the feedback relationships between Vietnam and each of Hong Kong. Singapore and Korea during the entire period and subperiods. In

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam Vietnam is revealed dining the post-crisis period, rhe multivariate Granger causality is found in the relationships among the groups of markets dinin

g the entire period mid prc-crisis period - for example. Vietnam is influenced by rhe US. Hong Kong and Malaysia. During the post-crisis period. Vietn Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

am is Granger-caused by the co-intcgrating vectors mid constant terms rather than lagged values of the endogenous variables in the dynamic structure.

Impacts of the global financial crisis on an emerging market the case of vietnam

We believe that these results are due to our parsimonious criterion in selecting rhe lag-length criteria and a relatively short lime frame during the

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEYDOCTORAL THESISImpacts of the Global Financial Crisison an Emerging Market:The Case of VietnamPhuong Thao Tran2013Impacts

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