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ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

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Nội dung chi tiết: ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

iTropospheric ozone changes, attribution to emissions and 2radiative forcing in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate jModel Inter-comparison Project

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD (ACCMIP)45D.S. Stevenson1, P.J. Young23, V. Naik4, J.-F. Lamarque5, D.T. Shindell6, R. Skeie7, 6S. Dalsoren7, G. Myhre7, T. Berntsen7, G.A. Folberth8

, S.T. Rumbold8, W.J. TCollins8, I.A. Mackenzie1, R.M. Doherty1, G. Zeng9, T. van Noije10, A. Strunk10, D. 8Bergmannu, p. Cameron-Smith11, D. Plummer1 ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

2, S.A. Strode13, L. Horowitz14, Y.H. 9Lee6, S. Szopa15, K. Sudo16, T. Nagashima17, B. Josse18, I. Cionni19, M. Right20, V.IDEyring20, K.w. Bowman21,

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

o. Wild221112[l]{School of GeoSciences, The University of Edinburgh. Edinburgh, United Kingdom}13[2]{ Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Re

iTropospheric ozone changes, attribution to emissions and 2radiative forcing in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate jModel Inter-comparison Project

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RDlorado, USA}17[4]{UCAR/NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey, USA}18(5] {National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder

, Colorado, USA}19[6]{NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York. New York, USA}20[7]{CICERO, Center for International Climate and Environment ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

al Research-Oslo, Oslo, 21 Norway}22[8]{Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK}23[9]{National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Lauder. New Z

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

ealand}24[ 10]{Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bill, Netherlands}25[11]{ Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, California,

iTropospheric ozone changes, attribution to emissions and 2radiative forcing in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate jModel Inter-comparison Project

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RDight Centre, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA}2[14]{NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey, USA}3[15}{Laboratoire des Sciences du C

limat et de rEnvironment, Gif-sur-Yvette. France}4116]{ Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Graduate School of Environmental 5Studies, Nago ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

ya University, Nagoya, Japan}6117]{National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba-shi, Ibaraki, Japan}?7[18]{GAME/CNRM, Meteo-France, CNRS - Ce

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

ntre National de Recherches 8MétéoroIogiques, Toulouse, France}91 19]{Agenzia Nazionale per le Nuove Tecnologie, I'energia e Io Sviluppo Economico lOS

iTropospheric ozone changes, attribution to emissions and 2radiative forcing in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate jModel Inter-comparison Project

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RDmany}13[21]{NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California, USA}14(22]{Lancaster Environment Centre, University of Lancaster, Lancaster, UK}15^C

orrespondence to: D. s. Stevenson (David.S.Stevenson(S»ed.ac.uk)1718Abstract19Ozone (O3) from seventeen atmospheric chemistry models taking part in th ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

e ACCM1P 20(Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project) has been used to 21calculate tropospheric Oj radiative forcings (RFs). We

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

calculate a value for the 1750 to 2010 22tropospheric Oj RF of 0.40 w nr2. The model range of pre-industrial to present-day changes 23111 O3 produces

iTropospheric ozone changes, attribution to emissions and 2radiative forcing in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate jModel Inter-comparison Project

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RDout ±10%. Applying 25two different tropopause definitions we find differences in RFs of ±3%. Given additional 26(unquantified) uncertainties associate

d with emissions, climate-chemistry interactions and 27land-use change, we estimate an overall uncertainty of ±30% for the tropospheric o3 RF. 28Exper ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

iments carried out by a subset of six models find that the tropospheric O3 RF can be 29attributed to increased emissions of CHa (46%), NOx (30%), co (

ACCMIP-Ozone-RF-v1_22July1740BST_RD

15%) and NMVOCs (9%).12

iTropospheric ozone changes, attribution to emissions and 2radiative forcing in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate jModel Inter-comparison Project

iTropospheric ozone changes, attribution to emissions and 2radiative forcing in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate jModel Inter-comparison Project

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