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U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

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Nội dung chi tiết: U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

HARVARD UNIVERSITY JOHN F. KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT Caspian Studies ProgramEEEA Report from the Caspian Studies Program’s Conference Held on Octob

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Regionber 22-23,2000U.S.-Russian Relations:Implications for the Caspian RegionWith an Executive Memorandum by Brenda Shaffer Summarizing Key Findings and Po

licy RecommendationsCaspian Studies Program, Harvard University Cambridge. Massachusetts June 2001PREFACEDear Colleague,On the eve of the U.S. Preside U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

ntial elections. Harvard University’s Caspian Studies Program held a conference in Cambridge titled “U.S.-Russian Relations: Implications for the Casp

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

ian Region" (October 22-23,2000). Security studies specialists, experts on the Caspian region, and past and present U.S. and Russian policymakers atte

HARVARD UNIVERSITY JOHN F. KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT Caspian Studies ProgramEEEA Report from the Caspian Studies Program’s Conference Held on Octob

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Regionssions about the impact of great and regional power rivalry on the slate of conf lict, stability, and development.Recent changes in the area make the

current period an especially opportune one for exploring how U.S. and Russian relations affect the Caspian region. Under President Putin, Russia has a U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

rticulated and initialed a more coherent policy toward the Caspian region, significantly increasing its activities there. Moscow’s recent change in po

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

licy suggests that Russian policymakers now believe that Russia can achieve more influence in the region by demonstrating flexibility on key issues. O

HARVARD UNIVERSITY JOHN F. KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT Caspian Studies ProgramEEEA Report from the Caspian Studies Program’s Conference Held on Octob

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian RegionOn the other. Russia’s more centralized and coherent policy should facilitate the negotiating of cooperative arrangements with Moscow.A number of poli

cy recommendations emerged from the conference that should help the new U.S. Administration promote U.S. interests without contributing to the destabi U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

lization of the region or to worsening relations with Russia (outcomes which are clearly in conflict with overall U.S. interests). The Executive Memor

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

andum of this report summarizes these policy recommendations as well as the main findings of the conference. The report also includes summaries of the

HARVARD UNIVERSITY JOHN F. KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT Caspian Studies ProgramEEEA Report from the Caspian Studies Program’s Conference Held on Octob

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Regionavanaugh and Anatoly Adamishin.This report has been compiled and edited by Emily Van Buskirk, Patrick McCrann, and Robert Krikorian, with proofreading

assistance from Seth Jaffe. Please feel free to direct any comments or questions about the report or its recommendations to Brenda Shaffer, Research U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

Director of the Caspian Studies Program, 79 JFK Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, or Brenda_Shaiier@harvard.edu.rhe Caspian Studies Program is made possibl

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

e by a generous grant from the U.S.-A/.erbaijan Chamber of Commerce and a consortium of companies led by ExxonMobil, Chevron, Aker-Maritime, ccc, and

HARVARD UNIVERSITY JOHN F. KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT Caspian Studies ProgramEEEA Report from the Caspian Studies Program’s Conference Held on Octob

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region Program will continue to explore the issues of vital interest to the Caspian basin region, including the many ways in which the U.S.-Russian relation

ship impacts the peoples and situations on the ground. We will continue to engage governments, the press, NGOs, companies, and academic experts in the U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

in the hopes that the answers to these questions can positively inform U.S. policyiiitoward the region. We hope that you will find this report useful

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

as you contemplate U.S.-Russian relations, the strategic Caspian region, and United States policy overall. We look forward to hearing your suggestion

HARVARD UNIVERSITY JOHN F. KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT Caspian Studies ProgramEEEA Report from the Caspian Studies Program’s Conference Held on Octob

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Regionector, Caspian Studies ProgramivTABLE OF CONTENTSPreface................................................................... liiExecutive Memorandum by

Brenda Shaffer.................................... 2Panel One: Introduction and History'...................................... 8Introducers: Graham A U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

llison. Melissa Can. Brenda Shaffer: Panelists: Carol Saivetz.Mark Kramer. Gerard LibaridianPanel Two: U.S. Policy and Activity in the Caspian Region.

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

.................... 12Chair: John Reppert; Panelists: Ambassador Carey Cavanaugh, Anthony Richter, John ElkindPanel Three: Russian Policy and Activit

HARVARD UNIVERSITY JOHN F. KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT Caspian Studies ProgramEEEA Report from the Caspian Studies Program’s Conference Held on Octob

U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region Anatoly Adamishin, Fiona Hill, Brenda ShafferPanel Four: Lessons about the Nature of Power in the Caspian Region.......20Chair: Paul Goble; Panelists

: Steven Walt, Arman GrigorianPanel Five: Models for U.S.-Russian Interaction in the Caspian Region:Impact on Stability and Conflict.................. U.S.-Russian Relations Implications for the Caspian Region

............................ 24

HARVARD UNIVERSITY JOHN F. KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT Caspian Studies ProgramEEEA Report from the Caspian Studies Program’s Conference Held on Octob

HARVARD UNIVERSITY JOHN F. KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT Caspian Studies ProgramEEEA Report from the Caspian Studies Program’s Conference Held on Octob

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