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unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

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Nội dung chi tiết: unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSHO CHIMINHCITYVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESTHE HAGUEV IETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014 ECONOMICSComparison of accounting-based bankruptcy prediction models of Altman(1968), Ohlson(1980) and Zmijewski(1984)using Vietnamese listed compani

es during 2008 - 2014A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF ARTS IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSByNGl YEN T unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

HI PHUONG TRAMAcademic Supervisor:DR.NGl YEN THI THI Y LINKHO CHI -MINH CITY. December 2015DECLARATION"I certify that the substance of this thesis lia

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

s not already been submitted for any degree and have not been currently submitted for any other degree.I certify that to the best of my knowledge and

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSHO CHIMINHCITYVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESTHE HAGUEV IETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014CKNOWLEDGEMENTSActually, this thesis could not have been finished without a collaborative experience involving the helps from many people. I would lik

e to acknowledge and express my heartfelt gratitude to those who give me the tremendous support to complete this thesis.I greatly express my special t unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

hanks to my supervisor Dr. Nguyen Thi Thuy l.inhwho was abundantly helpful and offered invaluable assistance, support and guidance through finishing t

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

his process.I express my warm thanks to Mr. Pham Khanh Nam for all his academic recommendations.I am using this opportunity to express my gratitude to

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSHO CHIMINHCITYVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESTHE HAGUEV IETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014tractsmore attention of debtors, creditors, shareholders and other stakeholders. Moreover, it can be applied in a wide variety of situations to busine

ss managers make crucial decision. The bankruptcy prediction models have been developed based on old original modes ofAltmanl 1968), Ohlson! 1980) and unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

Zmijewski( 1984)usingmultivariate discriminate, logit and probit analysis respectively. This thesisconducted the comparison of predictive power among

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

these modelsusingVietnameselisted firms during the period from 2008 to 2014. The data is taken from listed companies in HOSE and HNX stock market and

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSHO CHIMINHCITYVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESTHE HAGUEV IETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014 one year, two years and tlưee year beforehand bankruptcy, the analysis of differences of accuracy rates and Receiver Operating Curs es is applied.Ove

rall, Ohlson’sprobit model (1980) performed most accurate on the Vietnam listed companies within investigation periods. This implies that Ohlson'smode unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

l is the best predictor for bankruptcy likelihood for the listed companied in Vietnam. However, since the unstable accuracy rates and the highest freq

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014

uency of Type I and Type II errors, such resultshould be set into perspective and studied cautiously.Keywords: bankruptcy predictiommultivariate discr

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSHO CHIMINHCITYVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESTHE HAGUEV IETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

unlicensed comparison of accountin based bankruptcy prediction models of altman(1968), ohlson(1980) nad zmijewski(1984) using vietnamese listed companies during 2008 2014ceiver Operating Curves

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSHO CHIMINHCITYVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESTHE HAGUEV IETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

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