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Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

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Nội dung chi tiết: Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model thematical tool for prediction and recognition but it is not easy to understand deeply its essential disciplines. Previously. 1 made a full tutorial o

n HMM in order to support researchers to comprehend HMM. However HMM goes beyond what such tutorial mentioned when observation may be signified by con Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

tinuous value such as real number and real vector instead of discrete value. Note that state of HMM is always discrete event but continuous observatio

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

n extends capacity of HMM for solving complex problems. Therefore. I do this research focusing on HMM in case that its observation conforms to a singl

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model s is also mentioned. Mathematical proofs and practical techniques relevant to continuous observation HMM are main subjects of the research.Keywords: h

idden Markov model, continuous observation, mixture model, evaluation problem, uncovering problem, learning problemI. Hidden Markov modelThe research Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

produces a full tutorial on hidden Markov model (HMM) in case of continuous observations and so it is required to introduce essential concepts and pro

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

blems of HMM. The main reference of this tutorial is the article "A tutorial on hidden Markov models and selected applications in speech recognition"

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model in ones of the research. Section IV is the discussion and conclusion. The main problem that needs to be solved is how to learn HMM parameters when dis

crete observation probability matrix is replaced by continuous density function. In section II, I propose practical technique to calculate essential q Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

uantities such as forward variable backward variable /?r. and joint probabilities V. yt which are necessary to train HMM with regard to continuous obs

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

ervations. Moreover, from expectation maximization (EM) algorithm which was used to learn traditional discrete HMM. I derive the general equation whos

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model IV. My reasoning is based on EM algorithm and Lagrangian function for solving optimization problem.As a convention, all equations are called formulas

and they are entitled so that it is easy for researchers to look up them. Tables, figures, and formulas are numbered according to their sections. For Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

example, formula 1.1.1 is the first6544<1 )formula in sub-section 1.1. Most common notations "exp" and "In" denote exponential function and natural lo

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

garithm function.There are many real-world phenomena (so-called states) that we would like to model in order to explain our observations, often, given

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model sler-Lussier. 1998. p. 1). Suppose you arc in the room and do not know the weather outside but you are notified observations such as wind speed, atmos

pheric pressure, humidity, and temperature from someone else. Basing on these observations, it is possible for you to forecast the weather by using HM Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

M. Before discussing about HMM. we should glance over the definition of Markov model (MM). First. MM is the statistical model which is used to model t

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

he stochastic process. MM is defined as below (Schmolzc. 2001):Given a finite set of stale S={.V|, $2,..., .v„) whose cardinality is n. T.et 11 be the

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model obability of stale Si. where = 1--The stochastic process which is modeled gets only one state from 5 at alllime points. This stochastic process is def

ined as a finite vector X=(X|, X2..... XT) whose element Xr is a stale at time point t. The process X is called state stochastic process and Xi e s eq Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

uals some state .v( e s. Note that X is also called stale sequence. Time point can be in terms of second, minute, hour. day. month, year. etc. Il is e

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

asy to infer that the initial probability Xi = P(x\=st) where .VI is the first slate of the stochastic process. The stale stochastic process X must me

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model previous state Xr-I. not relevant to any further past state (xữ. x#-3...VI). In other words. Z*(Xf1 Xf-I. Xi-2. Xf-3.XI) = P(xiI Xr-|) with note that

P(.) also denotes probability in this research. Such process is called first-order Markov process.-At each time point, the process changes to the nex Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

t state based on the transition probability distribution Oij. which depends only on the previous stale. So aij is the probability that the stochastic

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

process changes current state Si to next state Sj. It means that (lij = P(xi=sj I X/-I=5i) = P(X/+I=A) I X/=Si). The probability of transitioning from

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model Note that A is n by n matrix because there are n distinct stales. Il is easy to infer that matrix A represents state stochastic process X. It is possi

ble to understand that the initial probability matrix n is degradation case of matrix A.Briefly. MM is the triple (5. A. n>- hl typical MM. states are Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

observed directly by users and transition probabilities (A and ID are unique parameters. Otherwise, hidden Markov model (HMM) is similar to MM except

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

that the underlying slates become hidden from observer, they arc hidden parameters. HMM adds more output parameters which are called observations. Ea

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model en parameters (stales) from output parameters (observations), given the stochastic process. The HMM has further properlies as below (Schmolzc. 2001):-

Suppose there is a finite set of possible observations 4» = {ẹ>i. Ọ2.whose cardinality is nt. There is the second stochastic process which produces ob Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

servations correlating with hidden states. This process is called observable stochastic process, which is defined as a finite vector o = («1. «2,...,

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

Or) whose element Or is an observation al lime point Ĩ. Note that Of Ể equals some Ọk. The process o is often known as observation sequence.-1 her

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model tic process is in slate Si. Il means that biịk) = bi(Ot=Ọk) = P(Or=Ọk I x,=Si). The sum of probabilities of all observations which observed in a certa

in state is 1, we have Vst € 5,2ơfcGC>bf(fc) = 1. All probabilities of observations bilk) constitute the observation probability matrix R. Il is conve Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

nient for US to use notation bik instead of notation b,lk). Note thai R is n by m matrix because there are n distinct states and in distinct observati

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

ons. While matrix A represents stale stochastic process X. matrix R represents observable stochastic process o.Thus, HMM is the 5-tuple A = (S. . A

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model her example, suppose you need to predict how weather tomorrow is: sunny, cloudy or rainy since you know only observations about the humidity: dry. dry

ish, damp, soggy. The HMM is totally determined based on its parameters s. . A. B. and n according to weather example. We have s = {s\=sunny, S2=cl Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

oudy. Sĩ=rainy}. 4> = {ọ\=dry. 2=dryish. Ọĩ=damp. q>A=soggy}. Transition probability matrix A is shown in table 1.1.Weather current day (Time point

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model

t)sunnycloudyrainyWealher prev ious day (lime point 1 -1)sunny«11=0.50«12=0.25«13=025cloudy«21=0.30«22=0.40«23=0.30rainy«31=0.25«32=0.25«33=0.50Table

44<1 )Continuous Observation Hidden Markov ModelLoc NguyenSunflower Soft Company. An Giang. VietnamAbstractHidden Markov model (HMM) is a powerful mat

Continuous Observation Hidden Markov Model iform distribution is shown in table 1.2.

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