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Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

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Nội dung chi tiết: Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models. Elbern3, H. Eskes4, M. Hirtl5, R. ỉabkar6, G.R. Carmichael7, J.Flemming8, A. Illness*, M. Pagowski9, J.L. Pérez Camano10, P.E. Saide7, R. San8Jose10

, M. Sofiev11, J. Vira11, A. Baklanov12, c. Carnevale13, G. Grell9, c.9Seigneur1.10lUCEREA, Joint Laboratory École des Ponts ParisTech/EDF R&D, Univer Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

sité Paris-Est,12 Mame-la-Vallée, France13-ÌNR1A, Paris Rocquencoun Research Center, France^Institute for Physics and Meteorology, University of Colog

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

ne, Germany154KNMI, De Bill, The Netherlands165Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Vienna, Austria1 ^Faculty of Mathematics and Physics

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Modelsge Weather Forecasts, Reading. UK 20’NOAA/ESRL. Boulder, Colorado? USA21 ^Technical University of Madrid (UPM), Madrid. Spain 22“Finnish Meteorologica

l Institute, Helsinki, Finland 2312World Meteorological Organization (WMO), Geneva, Switzerland and Danish 24 Meteorological Institute (DMI), Copenhag Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

en, Denmark 25l3Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Brescia, Italy 262728Correspondence to: c. Seigneur (seigneur@cerea

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

.enpc.fr)2930Abstrac(313233Data assimilation is used in atmospheric chemistry models to improve air quality forecasts, 34construct re-analyses of thre

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Modelspled 36chemistry meteorology models (CCMM) are atmospheric chemistr}' models that simulate 37meteorological processes and chemical transformations joi

ntly. They offer the possibility to 38assimilate both meteorological and chemical data; however, because CCMM are fairly 39recent, data assimilation i Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

n CCMM has been limited to date. We review here the current 40status of data assimilation in atmospheric chemistry' models with a particular focus on

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

future 41prospects for data assimilation in CCMM. We first review the methods available for data 42assimilation in atmospheric models, including varia

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Modelsemical transport models (CTM) and in CCMM. Observational data sets 45available for chemical data assimilation are described, including surface data, s

urface-based 46remote sensing, airborne data, and satellite data. Several case studies of chemical data 47assimilation in CCMM are presented to highli Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

ght the benefits obtained by assimilating 48chemical data in COMM. A case study of data assimilation to constrain emissions is also 49presented. There

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

are few examples to date of joint meteorological and chemical data 50assimilation in CCMM and potential difficulties associated with data assimilatio

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Modelslar, the specification of error cross-correlations 53may be problematic. In some cases, offline diagnostics are necessary to ensure that data 54assimi

lation can truly improve model performance. However, the main challenge is likely to 55be the paucity of chemical data available for assimilation in C Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

CMM.22561. Introduction5758Data assimilation pertains to the combination of modeling with observational data to produce 59a most probable representati

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

on of the state of the variables considered. For atmospheric GOapplications, the objective of data assimilation is to obtain a better representation o

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Modelsemistry).6364Data assimilation has been used for many decades in dynamic meteorology to improve 65weather forecasts and construct re-analyses of past

weather. Several recent reviews of data 66assimilation methods used routinely in meteorology are available (e.g., Kalnay, 2003; Navon, 672009; Lahoz e Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

t al., 2010). The use of data assimilation in atmospheric chemistry is more 68recent, because numerical deterministic models of atmospheric chemistry

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

have been used 69routinely for air quality forecasting only since the mid 1990’s; previously, most air quality 70forecasts were conducted with statist

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Modelsncentration maps (e.g., Elbern and Schmidt. 2001), inverse modeling to improve (or 73identify errors in) emission rates (e.g., Elbern et al., 2007; Vi

ra and Sofiev, 2012; Yumimoto 74et al., 2012), boundary conditions (e.g.. Roustan and Bocquet, 2006) and model parameters 75(e.g., Barbu et al., 2009; Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

Bocquet, 2012). Regarding air quality re-analyses, the 2008/50 76European Union (EU) Air Quality Directive (AQD) suggests the use of modeling in 77co

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

mbination with fixed measurements “to provide adequate information on the spatial 78distribution of the ambient air quality” (Borrego, in press; OJEU,

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models2012b); however, only data assimilation in CTM was addressed. 81 We address here data assimilation in atmospheric chemistry models, which we define to

82inckide both atmospheric chemical transport models (CTM), which use meteorological fields 83as inputs (e.g., Seinfeld and Pandis, 2006), and couple Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

d chemistry meteorology models 84(CCMM), which simulate meteorology and atmospheric chemistry jointly (Zhang. 2008; 85Baklanov et al., 2014). In parti

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

cular, we are interested in the future prospects and potential 86difficulties associated with data assimilation in CCMM.8788In spite of available prev

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Modelsmilation in 90CCMM can be challenging because of interactions among meteorological and chemical 91variables. Assimilating large bodies of various mete

orological and air quality data may lead 92to a point of diminishing return. The objective of this review is to present the current state of 93the sci Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

ence in data assimilation in atmospheric chemistry models. Because of the limited 94experience available with CCMM. our review covers primarily data a

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

ssimilation in CTM 95and, to a lesser extent, in CCMM. The emphasis for future prospects is placed on the 96preferred approaches for CCMM and the chal

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models currently available experience and recommendations are provided on the 99most appropriate approaches (methods and data sets) for data assimilation in

CCMM. Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models Current Status and Future Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models

1Data Assimilation in Atmospheric Chemistry Models: Current Status and Future2Prospects for Coupled Chemistry Meteorology Models34 5 6M. Bocquet12, H.

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