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Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

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Nội dung chi tiết: Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam y Bridge in Ho Chi Minh City (Vietnam) in a context of increasing private-sector participation in Vietnam's infrastructure sector. It analyzes the bri

dges financial distress as the consequence of the public sector’s failure to deliver on its commitment to complete city’s ring road project on time. T Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

he papers model considers the private-sector investor and the government in a two-party interaction, where the government may overstate its capability

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

to deliver supporting infrastructure. If this is the case, the private sector party makes a loss to the extent that it is misled. Furthermore, even i

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam sults call for more transparency as well as improved communication channels between the parties. Finally, the paper discusses other important issues o

f the project that the model voluntarily leaves outKeywords: Vietnam, Phu My Bridge, Public-private partnerships, Demand risk1INTRODUCTIONOver the las Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

t decade, infrastructure has gathered renewed interest, especially from institutional investors given its particular characteristics as an investment

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

(Sawant 2010). However, roads, bridges or aqueducts have been around for millennia, constructed by1 University Paris-DauphinePlace du Marechai de Latt

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam the governing body, with time the private sector is increasingly called upon as well.On rhe other hand, as the ongoing AĨĨB (Asian Infrastructure Inve

stment Bank) initiative is any indication, emerging markets and particularly Asia is where a significant portion of infrastructure demand will be. Thi Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

s demand is estimated at USD 800 billion per year from 2010 to 2020 (Bhaltacharyay 2010). Asian countries such as Vietnam are also massively turning t

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

owards the private sector to finance their infrastructure.In this paper, the author has chosen to explore this link between infrastructure and emergin

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam en one of the largest in Vietnam at the time of its construction. However, it is in financial distress for reasons detailed later in this paper. Under

standing these reasons will therefore provide valuable lessons for Vietnam in enlisting rhe private sector in infrastructure development, and this is Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

the first reason that motivates this paper.From an academic standpoint, the Phu My Bridge is also worth considering. The paper will argue that the pub

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

lic sector’s behavior may be interpreted as opportunistic and this has contributed to rhe bridge’s financial difficulty. For this, the paper will deve

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam r is organized as follows. Section 2 provides a background to Illis research. Section 3 develops a theoretical model to analyze the behavior of the go

vernment in this project. Section 4 points out the limitations of the model compared to real life and what we may learn from them. The final section c Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

oncludes.231322BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY2.1.Background on Vietnam2.1.1.Economic contextSince the country’s opening up during the late 80s. Vietnam has m

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

ade some great strides on creating a market economy. Real GDP growth averaged 6.9% from 1990 to 2013. according to the World Bank's data. In parallel,

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam ct investments (FDD in the region. FDI commitments amounted to USD 22.4 billion in 2013 (Báo Đầu Tir 2014).The private sector in Vietnam was also a bi

g beneficiary of the sweeping reforms. The number of State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) declined from 6545 in 1992 to about 3000 in 2010 and they only acc Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

ount for about 10% of the country's employment (Le Hoang Cuong. Helen and Ruhul 2014) The private sectors contribution to rhe national economy, on the

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

other hand, rose to between 57% and 67% of the GDP (ADB 2005).2.1.2.Private participation in infrastructure developmentWhen the reforms began in Viet

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam ucture spending, which now represents a significant percentage of GDP. According to Vietnam s General Statistics Office (GSO). the country spent on av

erage 10.6% of its GDP on infrastructure from 2009 to 2011. This estimate is on the higher end of the regional range, as a research report showed none Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

of Vietnam s emerging neighbors in the ASEAN2 spent more than 10% of GDP (Goldman Sachs 2013).Faced with this intensifying need in infrastructure spe

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

nding. Vietnam's government budget is currently under increasing scrutiny from the public and capital markets, and the budget deficit was estimated at

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam etimes as high as 20%. Foreign bank financing is also challenging due to more stringent international banking regulations. The Bank for International

Settlement itself admitted emerging countries wore “particularly concerned' about Basel Til’s impact on the availability of funds (Bank for Internatio Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

nal Settlements 201-1).Consequently, Vietnam is relying more and more on the private sector to keep up with infrastructure demand, something recognize

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

d very early by the government. The first amendment of the country's Law on Investment in 1992 introduced the first legal framework for BOT (Build-Ope

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam or BTO (Build-Transfer-Own). Since then. 82 projects with private participation reached financial close in Vietnam until 2013, with a total cost of U

SD 11.6 billion (World Bank 2014).2.2.The Phu My Bridge2.2.1. The contextThe Phu My Bridge connects Districts 2 and 7 of Ho Chi Minh City. Vietnam's e Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

conomic powerhouse with 9°0 of the national population and 20% of the national GDP in 2012. At the lime of its construction, the bridge had been one o

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

f the hugest infrastructure projects ever undertaken in the city. Aller completion, it would create a profound impact both for the city and for Vietna

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam the near future the bridge would link up two major sections of Vietnam’s 1800-km under-construction national expressway (VnExpress 201 1).A map of rh

e Phu My Bridge's location is provided below:4 Public private partnership with government included demand risk a case study from viet nam

Public-Private Partnerships with government-induced demand risk: A case study fromVietnamVinh-Thang HOANG 1ABSTRACTThis research considers the Phil My

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