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mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vfcKinsey Global Institute (MG I) has sought to develop a deeper understanding ol the evolving global economy. As the business and economics research ar

m ol McKinsey & Company, MGI aims to provide leaders in the commercial, public, and social sectors with lhe laclsand insights on which Io base managem mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

ent and policy decisions.MGI research combines the disciplines ol economics and management, employing the analytical tools of economics with the insig

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

hts of business loaders. Our •micro-to-macro* methodology examines microeconomic industry trends to better understand the broad macroeconomic forces a

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vfn six themes: productivity and growth, natural resources, labor markets, the evolution of global financial markets, the economic impact of technology

andinnovation, and urbanization. Recent reports have assessed the digital economy, the impact ol Al and automation on employment, income inequality, t mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

he productivity puzzle, the economic benefits of tackling gender inequality, a new era of global competition, (Chinese innovalion, and digital and fin

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

ancial gk>bali/alion.MGI is led by three McKinsey & Company senior (>artriers: James Manyika, Sven Smit, and Jonathan Woel/el.James and Sven also serv

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vftners, and Mekala Krishnan IS an MGI senior fellow.Project teams are led by the MGI partnersand a group of senior fellows and include consultants from

McKinsey offices around the world. These teams draw on McKinsey's global network ofpartners and industry and management experts. The MGI Council is m mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

ade up of leaders from McKinsey offices around lire world and ttie firm’s sector practices and includes Michael Hirsiian, Andrés Cadena. Sandrinc Dcvi

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

llard. André Dua. Kweilin Cllingrud, larek Hinasry, Kaly Gerxge, Rajal Gupta, Hie Ha/an, Acha I eke, Gary Pinkos, Oliver Tonby. and Eckart Windhagen.

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vfn, leading economists, including Nobel laureates, advise MGI research.The partners of McKinsey fund MGI's research: it is not commissioned by any busi

ness, government, or other institution. For further information about MGI and to download reports for free, please visit www.mckinsey.com/mgi.In colla mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

boration with McKinsey & Company's Sustainability and Global Risk praclicicsMcKinsey & Company’s Sustainability Practice helps businesses and governme

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

nts reduce risk, manage disruption, arxl capture oppor tunities in the transition to a low-carbon, sustainable-growth economy. Clients benefit from ou

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf strategy and risk to operations and digilal technology. Our proprietary research and tech-enabled tools provide the rigorous fact base that business

loaders and government policy makers need load boldly with confidence. The result: cut ting-edge solutions that drive business-modeladvancesand enable mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

lasting performance improvements for new players and incumbents alike.WWW. mckinsey.corn/sust a ina bililyMcKinsey & Company's Global Risk Practice p

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

artners with clients logo tieyond managing risk Io enhancing resilience and creating value. Organizations today face unprecedented levels and types of

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf risk: external shifts such as unpredictable geopolitical environmentsand climate change; and an evolving reputational risklandscape accelerated and a

mplified by social media. We apply deep technical expertise, extensive industry insights, and innovative analytical approaches Io help organizations b mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

uild risk capabilities and assets across a full range of risk areas. I tiese include financial risk, capital anti balance sheel related risk, nonfinan

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

cial risks (including cyber, data privacy, conduct risk, and financial crime), compliance and controls, enterprise risk management and risk culture, m

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vflytics. www.mckinsey.com/ busincss-functions/riskAuthorsJonathan WoeUet, ShanghaiDkrkon Pinner. San r rancncoI lamd Sainandari, New YorkI lauke Engel,

rrankíur IMcknlft Krishnan, BostonBrodin Botaod, Washington, DCCarter Bowls, loeontoClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impac mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

ts2600528PrefaceMcKinsey has long focused on issues of environmental sustainability, dating to client studies in the early 1970s. We developed our glo

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

bal greenhouse gas abatement cost curve In 2007, updated it In 2009, and have since conducted national abatement studies in countries including Brazil

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf A framework for decision-making (jointly released with the Economics of Climate Adaptation Working Group in 2009). Towards the Circular Economy (join

t publication with Ellen MacArthur Foundation in 2013), An integrated perspective on the Mure of mobility (2016), and Decarbonization of industrial se mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

ctors: The next frontier (2018). The McKinsey Global Institute has likewise published reports on sustainability topics including Resource revolution:

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

Meeting the world's energy, materials, food, and water needs (2011) and Beyond the supercycle: How technology Is reshaping resources (2017).In this re

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vfthe mechanisms through which physical climate change leads to increased socioeconomic risk. We also estimate the probabilities and magnitude of potent

ial impacts. Our aim is to help inform decision makers around the world so that they can better assess, adapt to. and mitigate the physical risks of c mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

limate change.This report is the product of a yearlong, cross-disciplinary research effort at McKinsey & Company, led by MGI together with McKinsey's

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

Sustainability Practice and McKinsey’s Risk Practice. The research was led by Jonathan Woetzel, an MGI director based in Shanghai, and Mekaia Krishnan

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf Engel in Frankfurt, and associate partner Brodie Boland In Washington. DC. The project team was led by Tilman Melzer. Andrey Mironenko. and Claudia K

ampel and consisted of Vassily Carantino. Peter Cooper, Peter De Ford, Jessica Dharmasiri, Jakob Graabak, Ulrike Grassinger. Zealan Hoover. Sebastian mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

Kahlert, Dhiraj Kumar. Hannah Murdoch. Karin õstgren, Jemima Peppel. Pauline Pfuderer, Carter Powis, Byron Ruby. Sarah Sargent. Erik Schilling. Anna S

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vf

tanley. Marhes Vasmel, and Johanna von der Leyen. Brian Cooperman. Eduardo Doryan, Jose Mana Ouiros, Vivien Singer, and Sulay Solis provided modeling,

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

mgi-climate-risk-and-response-full-report-vfogers. Sven Smit, and Thomas Vahlenkamp provided critical input and considerable expertise.

McKinseyGlobal InstituteClimate risk and responsePhysical hazards and socioeconomic impactsMcKinsey Global InstituteSince its founding in 1990. the Mc

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