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Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

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Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESno CHI MINH CH YTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnamT ECONOMICSTHE IMPACT OF OIL PRICE ON INFLATIONTHE CASE OF VIET NAM\ thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of MAST

ER OF ARIS IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSByTRUONG NGO TRONG NGHIAAcademic Supervisor:DR. NGUYEN VAN NGAIHO CHI MINH CITY. NOVEMBER 2012AcknowledgementOver t Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

wo years not so long but it is one of the most interesting periods of my life with many impressive memories. 1 would like to lake this opportunity to

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

express my deep gratitude to the Vietnam-Netherlands Master Program for Economics of Development for organizing many helpful and exciting curriculums.

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESno CHI MINH CH YTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnamlike to express my sincere gratitude to my supervisor Dr. Nguyen Van Ngai who gave me valuable guidelines, comments, suggestions, and inspiration for

the successtill completion of this study. Besides, his friendly and thoughtful instructions have given me a great deal of encouragements to overcome d Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

ifficulties in the whole research process.I am also thankful to Dr. Nguyen Trong Hoai, Dr. Nguyen Hoang Nam, Dr. Ill Van Binh. MBA Ly Till Minh Chau,

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

Tutor-Mr. Phung Thanh Binh and all lecturers and program administrators in the Vietnam rhe Netherlands Program for M.A. in Development Economics. They

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESno CHI MINH CH YTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnamcially Iran Tuycl Hanh, Iran Van Long, l.e Trong Binh, Vo Thi Ngoe Trinh, Le Anil Khang. Nguyen Van Dung. Nguyen Xuan Phap. Nguyen Le Thao Nguyen and

other classmates for their continuous support and encouragement.Last but not least. I would like to express my deepest thanks to my parents, my brothe Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

r, my close friends who have always given the most favorable environment and kept encouraging me that made me feel more confident during my study.11Ce

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

rtification‘*I certify that the content in this thesis has not already been submitted for any degree and has not submitted for any other degree until

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESno CHI MINH CH YTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam all sources used have been acknowledged in my thesis.”SignatureTruong Ngo Trong NghĩaDate: / /2012111AbstractA Sleep upward trend in lhe price of cru

de oil in recent years, reaching a spike record in middle of 2008. has led to increasing concern about Its impacts on macroeconomic, both abroad and i Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

n Vietnam. In this study, using the vector auto regression approach (VAR) with monthly dataset from 2001M1 to 2010M10. I attempt to empirically invest

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

igate the dynamic effects of oil price and Vietnam macroeconomics. Focusing on the reduced-form of causal relationships between world oil price (expre

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESno CHI MINH CH YTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam price level and output. In empirical analysis, I find consistent evidence that oil price shocks have a significant effect on output and price level i

n short term. In detail, my research finds a weak and positive statistically significant association between oil price shocks and price level. The out Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

put is more highly sensitive and I find an empirical evidence about the negative impact of oil price shocks on economic growth although it’s not strai

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam

ght forward. I also assert the existence of asymmetric impact of oil price proxies’ changes on economic grow th rale.Key words: inflation. GDP, oil pr

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESno CHI MINH CH YTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

Luận văn thạc sĩ the impact of oil price on inflation the case of vietnam.............ii

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICSINSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIESno CHI MINH CH YTHE HAGUEVIETNAMTHE NETHERLANDSVIETNAM - NETHERLANDSPROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT

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