The next decade of AI
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The next decade of AI
The Next Decade in Al:Four Steps Towards Robust Artificial IntelligenceGary MarcusRobust Al 17 February 2020AbstractRecent research in artificial inte The next decade of AIelligence and machine learning has largely emphasized general-purpose learning and ever-larger training sets and more and more compute.In contrast, I propose a hybrid, knowledge-driven, reasoning-based approach, centered around cognitive models, that could provide the substrate for a richer, more ro The next decade of AIbust Al than is currently possible.The next decade in ai ị Gary MarcusTable of Contents1Towards robust artificial intelligence32A hybrid, knowledge-drThe next decade of AI
iven, cognitive-model-based approach82.1.Hybrid architecture142.2.Large-scale knowledge, some of which is abstract and causal242.3.Reasoning362.4.CognThe Next Decade in Al:Four Steps Towards Robust Artificial IntelligenceGary MarcusRobust Al 17 February 2020AbstractRecent research in artificial inte The next decade of AIg the whole elephant, a little bit at a time523.4 Conclusions, prospects, and implications534Acknowledgements555References552The next decade in Al / Gary Marcus[the] capacity to be affected by objects, must necessarily precede all intuitions of these objects,.. and so e\ist[s] in the mind a priori.— The next decade of AIImmanuel KantThought is ... a kind of algebra ...—William JamesYou can't model the probabdity distribution function for the whole world, because the aThe next decade of AI
writ I is too complicated.— Eero Simoncelli'1. Towards robust artificial intelligenceAlthough nobody quite knows what deep learning or Al will evolveThe Next Decade in Al:Four Steps Towards Robust Artificial IntelligenceGary MarcusRobust Al 17 February 2020AbstractRecent research in artificial inte The next decade of AIreach a new level.Let us call that new level robust artificial intelligence: intelligence that, while not necessarily superhuman or self-improving, can be counted on to apply what it knows to a wide range of problems in a systematic and reliable way, synthesizing knowledge from a variety of sources The next decade of AIsuch that it can reason flexibly and dynamically about the world, transferring what it learns in one context to another, in the way that we would expeThe next decade of AI
ct of an ordinary adult.In a certain sense, this is a modest goal, neither as ambitious or as unbounded as "superhuman' or 'artificial general intelliThe Next Decade in Al:Four Steps Towards Robust Artificial IntelligenceGary MarcusRobust Al 17 February 2020AbstractRecent research in artificial inte The next decade of AIcan trust, in our homes, on our roads, in our doctor s offices and hospitals, in our businesses, and in our communities.Quite simply, ư we cannot count on our Al to behave reliably, we should not trust it.1§ The next decade of AIThe Next Decade in Al:Four Steps Towards Robust Artificial IntelligenceGary MarcusRobust Al 17 February 2020AbstractRecent research in artificial inteGọi ngay
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