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Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

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Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsEL Classification:G10;G18.G23: G24; G28* Associate Professor of Finance FinanceJoseph Winn Term ChairFinance DepartmentBabson College223 Tomasso HallB

abson Park. MA 02457-0310Ph:Email:**Assistant Professor ofSchool of BusinessUniversity of Wisconsin - Madison975 University AvenueMadison. wi 53706Ph: Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

(608) 265-3494(781) 239-4402Email:kkavajgczgbus.wjsc.eduGoldsteinfrPbabson.eduWe gratefully acknowledge the helpful comments from participants ar the

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

American Finance Association Meetings in New Orleans, the Financial Management Association Conference in Seattle, the NBER Microstructure Conference,

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movementsarticipants at Babson College, Columbia University. Georgetown University. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. New York University, and researchers

at the National Association of Security Dealers and the Security and Exchange Commission. We alsohttps://khothuvien.cori!(hank Jeff Bacidore, Geert B Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

ekaert. James Cochrane, Robert Engle. Simon Gervais. Jay Hartzel. Eugene Kandel. Joseph Kenrick, Charles Lee, Brace Lehmann, Edward Nelling, Elizabeth

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

odders-white, Maureen O’Hara, Craig MacKinlay, Gideon Saar, Patrik Sandás, George Sofianos, Chester Spatt and Avanidhar Subrahmanyam (Editor), and th

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movementsl remaining errors are our own. This paper was Initiated while Michael Goldstein was the Visiting Economist at the New York Stock Exchange. The commen

ts and opinions expressed in this paper are the authors' and do not necessarily reflect those of the directors, members or officers of the New York St Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

ock Exchange, Inc.Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsWe study the trading strategics of NYSE market participants t

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

hrough their choice of venue, order type and timing during the turbulent October 1997 period. During tills period, we find the irnplic il costs of sup

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movementsnstead for the flexibility and disc retion of floor trading. In addition, we line! that ahead cd’a market-wide closure. market partic ipants display b

ehavior consistent with the magnet effect, while during the market-wide c losure they curtail activity. Our results have implications for the viabilit Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

y of ECNs and electronic limit order books during turbulent periods as well as regulation aimed at maintaining the orderly working of markets during c

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

risis periods.https://khothuvien.cori!1. IntroductionThe equity trading landscape is made up of many different trading systems, each with its own uniq

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movementsaction costs. Prominent examples include the New York Stock Exchange’s (NYSE) SuperDot system, Nasdaq’s SuperMontage, Electronic Communication Network

s (ECNs), alternative trading systems such as Posit or Primex, and international equity exchanges in Paris and Toronto. On the other end of the spectr Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

um are more human interactive systems, such as the negotiated dealer system of Nasdaq, the floor of the NYSE and the upstairs market, that provide a r

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

ich environment on which to condition orders, thereby enabling a high level of trading discretion. These two types of systems, electronic and human ba

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movementsng choices, weighing the costs and benefits of these competing systems. As part of an overall trading strategy, market participants chose the trading

venue on which to trade, the type of order to send, and the timing of their actions. Depending on market conditions, traders might prefer one alternat Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

ive to another. The ultimate choices of market participants have the ability to bring to light many of the economic tradeoffs they face when trading.O

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

ur focus is the strategic trading decisions made by market participants and how these vary' with market conditions. We compare the trading behavior of

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movementsd in the market, namely the market break on October 27-28. 1997.1 Specifically, we1 On Monday. October 27, stock prices on tile New York Stock Exchang

e (NYSE) declined precipitously, as shown in the Appendix. By 2:36 PM. the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) had lost 350 points frorn the previous Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

day’s close, causing the “circuit breaker” provision of NYSE Rule 80B to be triggered for the first time since the rule was adopted in late 1988, resu

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

lting in a half hour market-wide trading halt. Although trading resumed at 3:06 PM, by 3:36 PM, the DJIA fell another 200 points, once again triggerin

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements drop to that date. On the following day, Tuesday. October 28, 1997, the DJIA regained 337 points, the largest single-day point increase up to that ti

me. In addition, trading volume on the NYSE soared to a record 1.2 billion shares, almost doubling its previous record of 684 million shares set on Ja Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

nuary 23, 1997. Moreover, each of the trading days between Thursday, October 23. 1997 and Thursday, October 30. 1997 rank in the top 10 busiest NYSE t

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

rading days up to that date. For an extensive description of the NYSE trading activity 1analyze three questions: (1) Whether the choice of trading pla

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movementsloor during periods of market turbulence, and does the decision depend on the characteristic of the stock traded? (2) Do market participants switch or

der type, and, if so, are market orders or limit orders preferred during periods of extreme market movements? (3) When do market participants begin to Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

implement these changes?Each of these questions remains an open question theoretically and empirically. For example, with respect to the venue choice

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

, there are two contrasting models. On one hand. Glosten (1994) develops a model where the electronic limit order book market dominates any competing

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movementson which they can condition and that market participants value trading flexibility, Grossman (1992) demonstrates that the added flexibility offered by

the upstairs market over traditional limit orders may allow the upstairs market to continue functioning while the “downstairs” market may fail or shu Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

t down with very wide bid-ask spreads. Bessembinder and Venkataraman (2003) provide empirical evidence for the issues raised in Grossman (1992) using

Trading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market Movements

data from the Paris Bourse.2 In addition, Lyons (2000) shows that in foreign exchange markets, the direct dealer market is chosen over the use of limi

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

Comments WelcomeTiading Strategies during Circuit Breakers and Extreme Market MovementsMichael A. Goldstein* and Kenneth A. Kavajecz**August 4. 2003JE

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